Sitemap - 2024 - Exponential View

⭐️ The year-end wake-up: The ‘Chinese Sputnik’ that demands our attention

Grading my 2024 predictions

🎁 Listen to this essay: Techno-energy is eating the world

🎉 The best of Exponential View – 2024 edition

🔮 The Sunday edition #505: Mirroring life; robot training; murder by streetview; 3D plane, influencer MPs & bunker sales surge++

🔥 Beyond human: OpenAI’s o3 wake up call

🎄 What progress looks like

✨ AI in 2025 – Kai-Fu Lee’s post-ChatGPT playbook

✨ AI in 2025 – The great normalisation

📈 Data to start your week

🔮 The Sunday edition #504: Pricing intelligence; the quantum dragon; investor democracy; geopolitical dominoes; Norway’s moves; diamond batteries & spiderweb math++

🐦‍🔥 A phoenix in Silicon Valley

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🔮 What AI holds for us in 2025, with Ethan Mollick

📈 Data to start your week

🔮 Sunday edition #503: AI barriers fall; computational war; autonomous microbes; TikTok election, med-tattoos & black hole puzzles ++

️‍🔥 Bezos’s brilliant idea

🔮 Infrastructure, investment and the great AI bottleneck of 2025

🔮 From ChatGPT to a billion agents

📈 Data to start your week

🔮 Sunday edition #502: New reasoners; learning to robot; debt’s helping hand; battery battles; using data’s heat & reversing grey hair ++

🎂 Happy second birthday, ChatGPT!

🔮 Why AI, solar & batteries will keep getting cheaper

🔮 Why AI might finally break Polanyi's Paradox

📈 Data to start your week

🔮 The Sunday edition #501: The new Manhattan Project; AI nanobodies; nitrogen from nothing, octopus overlords & MP3 ghosts++

👀 Are we facing an imminent AI-powered wage collapse?

📈 Why everyone missed solar’s exponential growth

🔮 The Sunday edition #500: AI scaling; science FTW; reality vs the Democrats; BlueSky, woke Grok & artificial eclipse++

🔮 What surprised me most after 500 editions of Exponential View

🚀 AI’s trillion-dollar scaling bet isn’t over

🔮 Ten charts to understand the Exponential Age

🔮 Open thread: Your view from Square 33

🔮 The Sunday edition #499: Biology’s bottlenecks; the AI economics & productivity; bitcoin high; human rhythms, voting & organ ageing ++

🔮 What doesn’t change

🇺🇸 The most consequential US election

🔮 The Sunday edition #498: Exponential conflict; AGI recipe; the perils of a cashless society; bad clutter & ageing animals ++

💬 How NotebookLM was created and where it’s going

🪄 My first, magical Waymo ride

🔮 Appetite for change: GLP-1s and society

🔮 Sunday edition #497: The American century; AI power play; the knowledge commons; gods & cogs; psylocibin, turbine homes, alien rodents++

🇺🇸 The second American century

🤯 An AI intern in your pocket

🔮 Sunday edition #496: Cheap intelligence; Google's nuclear gift; GLP-1s ftw; Truth Terminal, North Korea & slow delivery++

🔮 AI’s real dollar cost

We are hiring: Researcher + Intern

🔮 What would you do with an abundance of computing power?

🤯 Jensen Huang’s extraordinary interview

🔮 An abundance of compute; Nobel & AI; complexity & intelligence; porous digital infrastructure; porous carbon capture; cities & lucky accidents++ #495

💡Which firms will benefit first from AI?

✨ This Nobel Prize matters

🔮 Will genAI cause a compute crunch? No.

🔮 AI boosts earnings; the crisis of reading; CO2 protein; Russia’s tangerine payment; brain map, friends & AI podcasts++ #494

⚡️ Live AMA today

💡 The foundations of future AI

🔮 Five charts to understand the Exponential Age

Generative AI’s Impact on Computing Power: Lessons from a Bullish Model of Global Demand

🔮 Best of the month – A round-up for September 2024

🤔 Why is AI so divisive?

🔮 The state of OpenAI; China’s economy; fastest technology; lunar mining; Covid’s origins; psilocybin, Russian bots & poker ++ #493

👀 What is going on at OpenAI?

😎 Perplexity AI access with your annual subscription

🔮 Moore’s law^2; the Trojan horse; Amazon puzzle; North Korean elites, new blood group, bacteria furniture ++ #492

🔥 Feel the exponential

🔮 Why energy tech is eating the world

Open thread #6: AI now has an IQ of 120. Does it matter?

🔮 Strawberry; AI hyperpolation; digital twins; obsolete SaaS; dogs on LSD, nanotech & light hazard ++ #491

🍓 Playing with Strawberry: When machines can reason

💬 Open thread #5: Is AI really easy to use?

🔮 AI exoskeleton; exponential space; new nuclear age; massive compute; home-first robot, Diverse Intelligence & Bluesky rises ++ #490

🤔 Why humanity needs AI

🔮 Best of the month – August 2024

Open thread #4: Which scientific theory is most misunderstood?

🔮 SpaceX vs Boeing; Telegram; AI Doom; battery crash; lab-grown chicken, social biome & papercuts ++ #489

🧨 A telegram about Telegram

🔮 Why I changed my mind on self-driving cars

🔮 AI scaling constraints; importing sunshine; cognitive capital & AI; startup trap, geo engineering & Roblox ++ #488

🤔 On AI, Zuck is bang on

🔮 Today’s most important technology

Open thread #3: University in the age of AI

🔮 Too much exponential?; AI scientists; digital simulacra; moving stones and forging people ++ #487

🧐 Eric Schmidt’s AI prophecy: The next two years will shock you

🌅 The rooftop energy revolution no one knew about

Open thread #2: Elon

🔮 The root of riots; AI‘s climate costs; AGI; the last ICE & bronze age tech ++ #486

🤔 What bosses miss about AI

Open thread #1

🔮 Hype is overhyped; GLP-1 surprises; Trump's climate costs; Texas solar, AI necklace & Venezuela ++ #485

🧐 Four insights from my trip to Peru

🔮 Open-source AI surge; UBI surprises; OpenAI losses; Murdoch’s empire drama, waste-eating flies & learning ++ #484

Gain a new perspective on AI and our future:

🔮 Living in the future

🔮 Tech’s right shift; predicting complexity; conservatism failure; longevity, synthetic blood & robots ++ #483

💸 Turning UBI on its head

🔮 Our collective brain is ageing. What does it mean for our civilisation?

🔮 Ultracheap batteries; Bengio on AI risk; the hardest maze ++ #482

🧠 AI’s $100bn question: The scaling ceiling

🌅 Dawn of the distributed age

🔮 AI's expensive gap; superintelligent bureaucracy; Copernican trauma; supershoes & BYD's sexy mishap ++ #481

🎉A letter to the PM: Technology and optimism

Just voted… 🇬🇧

🔮 If the world ran like Google...

🔮 Genome architects; Chinese cables; sun & the data centre; rising rivals; hair juche & Schrodinger’s AI cat ++ #480

🔮 Ilya’s resurrection; new news; copyright & AI; heat pumps, telepathic tech leaders, Xi's cities & API bills ++ #479

🤔 Claude 3 is the Macintosh of AI

🔮 Apple’s Intelligence; solar beats oil; are companies ready?; plant minds & chess moves ++ #478

🌏 AI, reshoring and development

🔥 The AI squeeze

🔮 Exponential asymmetry in war; AI & complexity; Chinese Fordism; origami, Nvidia & Ozempic ++ #477

🤔 The misinformation about misinformation

🔥 What to expect when you’re expecting GPT-5

📈 Nvidia-a-a-a-a-a-a

🔮 AI & creativity; exponential compute; peak GHGs, recycling concrete & marriage saves lives ++ #476

🔮 The brave new knowledge ecosystem; Chat Xi PT; deglobalisation; electric Ethiopia ++ #475

🇬🇧 Seven exponential policies for a new government

🔮 Breaking the energy barrier with reversible computing

🔮 The race to AI assistants; OpenAI exodus; GLP-1, risky films, insect protein ++ #474

📈 Chartpack: The near future of battery storage

🔮 Coordinating the energy transition; AI’s hiring bias; new molecules; urban recycling, teachers, and music taste ++ #473

🤔 AI and the early internet

🔮 Can the West wean off from China?; European startups; AI war rooms; fragile societies ++ #472

🔮 What is Tesla?; LLM gene editor; China rivals GPT-4; crypto, Kant & conscious molluscs ++ #471

🔮 The bedlam of AI

🔮 AI’s ongoing mismeasure; standing between superpowers; Mrs Genghis Khan, Ozempic & happy Finns ++ #470

🔮 Does AI present an existential risk?

🔮 AI’s diminishing marginal returns; Yellen’s time machine; TikTok boom; cycling, beauty & vintage phones++ #469

🔮 GenAI at work: The year of scale?

🔮 EVs on the up; Google‘s paywall; software’s fatal flaw; creative walking, long Covid and Amazon’s ”AI” ++ #468

⭐️ Lithium’s satisfying over expansion

🐙 Promptpack: Beyond the prompt, towards AI conversations

🌪️ Three months in AI in six charts

🔮 Who is winning the AI talent wars? EV#467

💡 Are we ready for the next computing paradigm?

🔮 Will AI agents enter your business this year?; economic efficiency vs. welfare; modelling breakdown; Tot-AI-l Football ++ #466

🔥 Unleashing the power of AI, with Ethan Mollick

🔮 The harsh numbers of the energy transition; autonomous coders; sovereign AI; consciousness & AGI ++ #465

🔮 The year of scaling enterprise AI, with Cohere's Aidan Gomez

👀 Putting GPT-4's new rivals to the test

🔮 What to make of ChatGPT’s rival Claude 3; urban innovation; AI patents; solar learning; epigenetics ++ #464

❤️ A case for optimism with Chris Anderson, TED

⚗️ Unlocking the incredible with AI [Part 2]

🔮 Can Google transform?; driving the energy transition; antagonistic AI, GRU spies and robots++ #463

🚀 Unlocking the incredible with AI

📈 Will AI spending come down to earth?

🔮 The complicated costs of genAI; Gemini & bias; good news for energy transition; AI patents, Nvidia, gambling ++ #462

💡 Will AI sharpen or dull our minds?

🤔 Will AI sharpen or dull our minds?

🔮 AI hype; controlling compute; digital dialectic; a micro-dose of complexity ++ #461

🚨 Important update from Azeem

🔮Yoshua Bengio: Towards AI’s humanistic future

😲 A trillion here, a trillion there. Soon it’s real money

🔮 AI, trust, & lawyers' future; China's chip success; face swap, robot swarms, obesity drugs ++ #460

🔮 The brilliant, complicated simplicity of ChatGPT

🔮Existential risks’ existential problem

🔮 AI cloud capture; asymmetric warfare; 34 authors; code quality; big PDFs ++ #459

🍏 AI superpowers and mistakes in my Vision Pro essay

🍏 How Apple‘s Vision Pro can succeed

🔮 Opening the AI black box with Richard Socher

🔮 Slow AI?; chatbot therapy; mis-misinformation; poisoned Apple; long covid ++ #458

[CORRECTION] ⛷️ Notes from a ski resort, 2024 edition

⛷️ Notes from a ski resort, 2024 edition

🔮 AI, jobs & Engels’ pause; silicon sensitivity; GPUs galore; artificial milk, cheap batteries ++ #457

🔮 Lifespan, AI in healthcare, GLP-1 drugs, and mRNA with Dr Eric Topol

🔮 Pessimism; the AI reshuffle; synthesis setback; Microsoft eats Apple, Tolkien ++ #456

🔮 The horizon for 2024: The biggest questions on the horizon

🔮 Copyright & AI; transition minerals; “virtual souls”; toppling Tetris ++ #455

🔮 The horizon for 2024: Small technologies & decentralisations #2