🎉 The best of Exponential View – 2024 edition

My best posts and conversations from 2024, organised by the key pillars of my world view

👋 Welcome to this month’s free edition of Exponential View. Each week I share my view on the evolving world of AI and exponential technologies to help you understand what is going on and what to pay attention to.

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As our team winds down over the next two weeks for the winter shutdown, I wanted to do a quick round-up of some of my favourite posts from 2024, organised by the three pillars I rely on in my daily thinking: pragmatic optimism, exponential thinking and seeking big ideas.

Pragmatic optimism helps me see what’s possible

• AI could drive wages to zero - but we can be adaptable enough to adjust

• AI scaling is not over, it’s changing

• Even amidst Trump’s election, the shift to clean energy won’t stop

• If AI progress stopped now, it wouldn’t matter. AI is already good enough to change how we do things

Thinking exponentially helps me see further

• The energy transition is going to reshape who holds the economic power around the world

• There’s no singular challenge that can stop the energy transition

• AI, solar and batteries will keep getting cheaper

• Pakistan is undergoing a rooftop energy revolution no one knew about

• Only knowledge can keep humanity on track – and we need AI to keep learning and discovering

Big ideas help me escape existing paradigms

• Existential risk has an existential problem

• Reversible computing will make low-energy computing possible

• AI’s next chapter will be written by an ecosystem of domain-specific models

• Why I changed my mind on self-driving cars

• One of today’s most important technologies is pharmacological

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Member briefing call – 2025 forecast

We’re going to get together with members of EV online in the second week of January. This session is an opportunity to come together to explore key insights for the year ahead, engage in thoughtful discussions and share your expectations for the coming year.

• Wednesday, 8 January, 4pm UK time / 11am NY time RSVP here

• Thursday, 9 January, 11am UK time / 3pm Dubai time RSVP here

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Conversations – AI in 2025

If you prefer listening, tap into my conversations about the state of AI in 2025 with four top experts:

• With

  Ethan Mollick
  on genAI’s winning use cases and leveraging the multiplier effects of this technology. Watch or listen here

• With

  Dylan Patel
  on the infrastructure & investment behind AI’s ongoing development

• With Nathan Benaich about the great normalisation of AI’s ‘magic’ in 2025

• With Kai-Fu Lee about AI’s development in Asia and the shift from co-pilots to AI-first workflows

Thank you for reading!