Exponential View

Exponential View

🔮 Remote and automated work; splinternet; predictions review 1; nuns, models, bots++ #280

Azeem Azhar
Jul 26, 2020
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We’re on a summer schedule right now. This week’s EV provides a half-year check-in to the decadal predictions I made in January.

Dept of Near Future

Robot use is soaring during the pandemic. (Brain Corp saw a 41% jump in robot usage in the US in the first half of the year.) Meanwhile, Sinead Bovell argues, “I am a model and I know that AI will eventually take my job.” In 2013, Frey & Osborne’s groundbreaking research suggested that the modelling profession had a 98% chance of being automated by machine learning. #automation #robopocalypse

Everyone’s talking about the move to remote work for most industries. But is this actually a good trend for workers? Sean Blanda points out that this means a downward pressure on wages (he’s talking specifically about the American context, but this is true around the world), which makes it easier to think of individuals as numbers rather than people, and can actually discourage growth. We’re seeing the shift out of the office everywhere. This is even t…

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