1. are their projections for a reduction in the absolute number of cars and/or a reduction in the size of cars as AVs become available?
2. could something like transfer learning be part of progress on climate and other common problems? For example, perhaps Brazil or the US also want to be able to produce cheap solar panels. Do we need to go through the same learning curve for solar panels as China did? More broadly, how specific is a learning curve? Is China applng lessons from solar panel production and HSRs to manufacturing in general? If so, is this further motivation for the US to make sure we master at least some areas of manufacturing?
2. Absolutely, transfer learning could indeed be a pivotal part of progress on climate and other common problems. The extent of this transfer, however, largely hinges on the willingness of countries to cooperate, which is a significant variable at play. While each technology will have its own learning curve, possessing a robust manufacturing base can facilitate the 'cross-pollination' of ideas and best practices, potentially fast-tracking developments. Therefore, this situation does serve as an added incentive for the US to cultivate mastery in various manufacturing domains.
A couple questions...
1. are their projections for a reduction in the absolute number of cars and/or a reduction in the size of cars as AVs become available?
2. could something like transfer learning be part of progress on climate and other common problems? For example, perhaps Brazil or the US also want to be able to produce cheap solar panels. Do we need to go through the same learning curve for solar panels as China did? More broadly, how specific is a learning curve? Is China applng lessons from solar panel production and HSRs to manufacturing in general? If so, is this further motivation for the US to make sure we master at least some areas of manufacturing?
1. I haven't seen a lot of projections, this one here says a 70% reduction in car ownership (although they don't say how they arrive at the figure + is from 2019). https://www.zdnet.com/article/how-autonomous-vehicles-will-change-car-ownership/
2. Absolutely, transfer learning could indeed be a pivotal part of progress on climate and other common problems. The extent of this transfer, however, largely hinges on the willingness of countries to cooperate, which is a significant variable at play. While each technology will have its own learning curve, possessing a robust manufacturing base can facilitate the 'cross-pollination' of ideas and best practices, potentially fast-tracking developments. Therefore, this situation does serve as an added incentive for the US to cultivate mastery in various manufacturing domains.