🔮 Grading my predictions for 2022

Quantum computing, fusion, Web3, energy & climate tech, AI++

Every year, I offer my predictions for the year ahead — and at the end of every year, I review how the past predictions played out. I asked Nathan Warren, a new team member at Exponential View, to help with the assessment. Our discussion follows below. 

Before we get into it, you can read my 2022 predictions here. TL;DR the main themes were the following:

• Two futuristic technologies — quantum computing and nuclear fusion — will become more present in our consciousness during 2022,

• We’ll reach another turning point in Web3 adoption and innovation,

• The debate will shift in the wake of two 2021 occurrences: 1) the comparative fragility in European energy systems, and 2) a rethink about nuclear fission power or the role of fossil fuels, particularly natural gas, in the clean transition (note, this was before Putin’s war on Ukraine),

• Big tech will remain big.