Exponential View

Exponential View

📈 Data to start your week

Silicon détente ↑ Revenue-compute curves ↑ Texas sun beats coal ↑

Azeem Azhar and Hannah Petrovic
Jan 19, 2026
∙ Paid

Hi all,

Here’s your Monday round-up of data driving conversations this week in less than 250 words.

Let’s go!


  1. Silicon détente ↑ The US and Taiwan signed the largest chip reshoring deal in history, $500 billion in US-bound capital plus tariff cuts for Taiwan.

  2. AI lifts TSMC ↑ The chip giant posted a record Q4 profit of $16 billion, up 35% YoY, with high-performance computing making up 58% of total revenue.

  3. Revenue follows compute ↑ OpenAI shared that compute scaled ~3x YoY from 2023 through 2025, while annualized revenue climbed from $2 billion to $20 billion – a near 1:1 correlation. It’s to be seen if this is a durable law or a boom artifact.

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