Exponential View

Exponential View

📈 Data to start your week

A new scaling law; AI job fears fade; Dementia in retreat++

Azeem Azhar and Nathan Warren
Jul 13, 2026
∙ Paid

Hi all,

Here’s our short Monday roundup of signals to kick off your week.

  1. Another scaling law? ByteDance researchers found that newer AI models learn on the job1 about twice as fast as models from just three months earlier.

  1. Execs talk down job cuts. The share of CEOs expecting significant headcount cuts from AI fell from 46% in January 2025 to just 20% in May 2026.2

  2. AI’s audience splits. ChatGPT’s user share fell below 50% for the first time in March.3

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